UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update – Coronavirus – Virginia Department of Health

Key Takeaways

  • While case levels remain very high, they are declining in most areas of the state. 31 health districts are in declining trajectories, and only one is in a slow growth trajectory. None are in surge trajectories.
  • High case levels, combined with a substantial unvaccinated population, could lead to a significant holiday surge.
  • Combined with a possible holiday COVID-19 surge, a severe flu could result in hospitalizations that exceed last January’s peak.
  • Vaccines are the best prevention for flu and COVID-19. Booster shot administrations currently exceed first and second dose COVID-19 vaccine administrations.

Weekly Modeling Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.

Source